Why the next big thing could be the next big bust.
The staff of Fortune is assembling its predictions for 2017 in our annual feature, the Fortune Crystal Ball, now on newsstands in the December 1 issue of the magazine. Here’s one of our forecasts.
As of November, shoppers can buy any of the big three “first-generation” headsets: Oculus VR’s Rift, HTC’s Vive, and Sony’s PlayStation VR. But there’s no sign of a mass frenzy to scoop them up. That’s in part because they lack a “killer app” to justify spending hundreds of dollars on yet another gadget.
To be sure, there are signs of growth in VR. Research firm Deloitte expects 2016 to be the industry’s first billion-dollar year. But it’s looking likely the rocket ship will stall in 2017, unless makers of the pricey software can come up with a raison d’etre—and soon.